Friday, May 1, 2026

“Entry By Hand”

Why Know This Stuff?

(1        (1)    It provides a more efficient way to expend limited resources (see Figure 1).

(2) It is integral to brainstorming,  raising probability of success with multiple ideas.

(3) No organization can afford to do real design work on all candidates!

(4) However,  it requires “real” pencil-&-paper engineering training.

    (5) Those so-capable can spot bad results coming from computer codes! 

Figure 1 – Knowing “Pencil-and-Paper Engineering” Is the Efficient Way to Use Resources

The example here is making entry estimates that include both dynamics and heating.  The basic by-hand entry model is old,  simple stuff used for warhead entry work back in the early 1950’s.  It is usually attributed to H. Julian Allen,  although both he and A. J. Eggers published it in a NACA report,  once this method was declassified.  See Figure 2.

This kind of analysis is now best done in spreadsheet, for fast changes,  that automate any iterative explorations.  This analysis only handles straight-in entries:  no skips, no multi-pass trajectories.  It is fundamentally 2-D Cartesian,  so one must “wrap” the range-related results around the central body.

Figure 2 – How the Old Entry Model of Allen and Eggers Actually Works

 The inputs divide into 3 groups:  (1) the atmosphere scale-height density model and entry interface altitude,  (2) the entry speed and direction information,  and (3) the vehicle model.  That last includes both ballistic coefficient as well as an effective “nose” radius for heating estimates.  Ballistic coefficient requires mass and dimensional information,  plus an estimate of the very-nearly-constant hypersonic drag coefficient. 

Where to obtain such information for the inputs is also summarized in Figure 3.  The Justus and Braun reference has atmosphere models for using this kind of analysis at a variety of places around the solar system.  The author’s spreadsheet file has separate worksheets corresponding to the scale height models and entry interface altitudes for Earth,  Mars,  Titan,  and Venus,  all from Justus and Braun.   

The author also has another spreadsheet file that does the classical 2-body orbital mechanics of elliptical orbits.  This is the best kind of source for speed at entry interface.  Technically,  evaluating slopes at the entry interface location will get you the entry angle below local horizontal,  but a default guess of 2 degrees is rather representative for spacecraft items.  Some warheads come in steeper,  but if so,  usually slower,  too,  because they are fundamentally suborbital. 

Masses and dimensions for many craft can be found on the internet.  The author has found the old Hoerner “drag bible” reference a good source for drag coefficients. 

Figure 3 – Typical Sources of Data

Ballistic coefficient β = M/(CD A) is a measure of how well the vehicle penetrates through the air while decelerating.  If the hypersonic CD is a constant,  then the hypersonic beta will be constant,  which is what the Allen and Eggers model assumes.  That assumption is at least approximately true all the way down to about local Mach 3 for blunt shapes. 

The dimensions and shape enable calculating a volume corresponding to the outer shape envelope.  Dividing mass-at-entry by that volume gets you an “effective density” for the craft.  Not all craft will have the same “effective density”:  manned craft will compute lower because of the interior volumes required to be open space in which the astronauts can live.  Unmanned craft will typically have higher “effective densities”,  because things can be packed as tightly as possible. 

As indicated in Figure 4,  ballistic coefficient β ~ eff. density * dimension3/dimension2  = eff. density * dimension,  for any given shape,  since volume is proportional to dimension cubed,  while area is proportional to dimension squared.  That means for the same shape and density,  ballistic coefficient scales as the cube root of mass at entry.  The same shape corresponds to the same blockage area-basis drag coefficient.

Figure 4 – How Ballistic Coefficient Varies With Mass,  Density,  and Dimensions

The author’s entry analysis spreadsheet is depicted in Figure 5 below.  This particular one is for the Earth atmosphere model,  for an Apollo coming back from the moon.

Highlighted in yellow near the top of the worksheet are 3 groups of inputs.  Of these,  the user need only worry about 2!  The leftmost group has the atmosphere model,  and there is one worksheet for each different atmosphere model.  Currently,  there are worksheets for Earth,  Mars,  Titan,  and Venus.  The atmosphere model has ρ0 and hscale for the exponential density variation model,  plus the entry interface altitude.  It also has the upper and lower values of altitude,  between which the scale height density approximation best matches reality.  There is an input with the name of the world the worksheet models.

The center yellow input group is the user-input entry conditions:  speed at entry interface Vatm,  and angle below horizontal Ɵ.  There is an input denoting what the mission is about. 

The vehicle model is the rightmost yellow input group near the top.  It has values for ballistic coefficient β and the effective nose radius Rn.  There is also an input for the name of the vehicle. 

The heating model constants are also given for convection and for plasma radiation.  These are not yellow,  and are not user inputs.  They are as meant,  for each worksheet.

The main calculation block starts in the left column with a list of altitudes highlighted green,  that starts at its top with the input entry interface altitude.  The user may freely adjust that list to get points denser in distribution where speeds,  gees,  and heating rates are changing rapidly.  It ends with a yellow highlighted user input altitude to find exactly the altitude that corresponds to the intended end-of entry speed.  Mach 3 on Earth is typically right at 1.0 km/s.  Mach 3 on Mars is typically close to 0.7 km/s. 

Figure 5 – Appearance of the Author’s Entry Spreadsheet Worksheets 

Typical spreadsheet results  are shown in Figure 6 just below.  These plots are generated automatically by the worksheet.  The user can see where the points need to be denser when adjusting his altitudes list.  Then when done,  he can copy these plots and paste them into a “Paint 2-D” png file.  It is recommended to read values out of the worksheet calculation block,  and annotate the resulting plots with them,  once they are in the png file.  

Figure 6 – Image of Png File Containing Annotated Worksheet Plots

The convective and radiative heating models currently embodied in the spreadsheet file’s worksheets are illustrated in Figure 7 just below.  The original Allen and Eggers model had only the convective stagnation heating model.  The author found one for plasma sheath stagnation radiation heating in the SAE Aerospace Applied Thermodynamics Manual (1969),  modified it slightly,  and incorporated it into the spreadsheet.           

The figure also has the old entry engineer’s “rule of thumb” that says the effective temperature in degrees K,  of the plasma sheath near stagnation,  is numerically equal to vehicle speed in meters/second.  This is rather crude,  being only about 10% accurate,  but it is “in the ballpark”. 

The figure also includes the author’s wild guesses for how to rescale the stagnation heating rates to other locations on the vehicle.   There are regions of attached flow that feature severe flow “scrubbing” of the surface,  and separated-wake locations that do not.  The plasma radiation heating rescales differently than the convective heating.  

For regions where flow is still attached,  the plasma sheath is still crudely as close to the surface as it is at stagnation,  implying radiation heating rates still very near stagnation,  unlike convective.  In the wake,  the plasma sheath is remote,  but still “shining upon” the surfaces,  so the author does not rescale it down as far as he does the convective. 

Figure 7 – Stagnation Heating Models Currently In the Spreadsheet,  Plus Scaling Elsewhere

Complicating Factors:  tumble-home angle vs angle-of attack for capsule shapes             

Most capsule shapes have what is called a “tumble-home angle” of the lateral walls inward.  Flow usually accelerates sub-sonically,  radially outward behind the bow shock,  to a sonic line that is usually at the very rim of the heat shield.  Flow usually separates at the rim,  just downstream of the sonic line,   leaving the lateral walls in separated wake flow,  if the capsule flies straight with no angle of attack. 

A modest angle of attack to create a lateral lift force has been used for a long time (since Gemini in the 1960’s) to better “fine-tune” the entry trajectory.  One just rolls the capsule to point that lift vector in the desired direction.   This has the effect of reducing the angle between the lateral wall and the separated flow on the side where the stagnation point is closest to the rim.  On Apollo,  this had the effect of flow staying attached to the lateral wall (with higher heating) in a localized swatch of surface,  on that side.  This sort of thing is depicted in Figure 8 just below

The simple entry model does not handle such subtle differences,  it just pulls the capsule straight in,  along a straight line in Cartesian coordinates,  and it only estimates stagnation heating.  The user has to allow for this possibility,  when rescaling stagnation heating rates to lateral walls where flow might actually be attached!

Figure 8 – Effects of Modest Angle of Attack Upon Heating for Capsule-Type Shapes

As an example of this angle of attack effect,  consider the data the model predicts for Apollo coming back from the moon,  in Figure 6 above.  Stagnation convective was 144 W/cm2,  and radiative was 236 W/cm2,  for a stagnation total of 380 W/cm2.  Those numbers scale for attached flow locations to 48 W/cm2 convective,  and 236 W/cm2 radiative,  for a total of 284 W/cm2.  For separated wake zones,  those same numbers rescale to 14.4 W/cm2 convective,  78.7 W/cm2 radiative,  for a total of only 93.1 W/cm2

Note that the rim of the heat shield would definitely be a region of attached flow,  at total heating 284 W/cm2,  some 74.7% of that at the stagnation point!  At some angle of attack causing flow attachment for a swatch along only one lateral side,  the same high heating at something like 284 W/cm2 would exist!  The rest of the lateral sides are all in separated flow,  at a heating rate only in the neighborhood of 93.1 W/cm2,  only 24.5% of stagnation.

The lesson is quite clear:  lateral sides that might see attached flow at angle of attack,  require thicker heat protection than those that do not!  That increased thickness requirement is at least similar to the thickness near the rim of the base heat shield!

Max pressure on the heat shield is important for choice of an adequate material,  as some can be crushed.  You have a mass at entry,  and a blockage area,  in order to set up your calculation of ballistic coefficient β.  The entry model spreadsheet gives you an estimate of the max deceleration gees.  Mass * max gees * gc  equals the decelerating force F acting upon the vehicle.  Max deceleration occurs high enough up,  that backside pressures on the aft surfaces are essentially zero.  So,  the average pressure on the heat shield is simply that deceleration F divided by the blockage area.  The sonic pressure near the rim is roughly half the stagnation pressure,  so the average pressure is roughly ¾ of the stagnation pressure.  Reversing that leads to Pstagn = (4/3)*Pavg,  as indicated in Figure 9.  

Figure 9 – Approximate Stagnation Pressure Estimate

Heat shield materials have definite operating limits.  Ablatives are usually rated to max heating rates per unit area,  and max pressure exposure,  as shown in Figure 10 just below.   Transpiration surfaces would likely be similarly rated,  although that technology has yet to fly (but it might soon).  Refractories are usually rated somewhat differently,  being rated directly in terms of a max service temperature,  although there is still a max pressure rating.  The user should be aware that these max rating values recommended for ablatives will vary from source to source. 

Looking at the Apollo lunar return example above,  the exposures and the ratings for its Avcoat 5026-39 heat shield compare as follows:

Item…………….exposure…….rating…….remarks

Q/A, W/cm2…..380…………….600……….OK

Max P, atm……0.56……………0.50………barely not OK,  but it worked

Figure 10 – Max Rating Values for a Few Ablatives (Values in Other Sources Vary)

The variation in ratings from source to source can be seen comparing Avcoat 5026 in Figure 10 above to “Avcoat” for Apollo and Orion in Figure 11 just below.  Note particularly the manufacturing difference between Avcoat for Orion EFT-1 versus Orion as flown in Artemis.  Artemis leaves out the reinforcing hex,  to get bonded tiles instead of hand-gunned honeycomb cells.  Most such sources leave out sufficient clarifying details!

Figure 11 – Many Ablative Applications and Rating Data (from a different source)

Ratings for some refractory ceramic materials are shown in Figure 12.  The first 3 in the figure were used on the space shuttle.  The windward tiles were colored black to increase their thermal emissivity,  where heating was larger.  The leeward tiles were white where high emissivity was not required,  but solar reflectivity was required,  for passive thermal balance control. 

These were very low density aluminosilicate materials,  whose max service temperatures were not limited by melting,  but by a solid phase change causing shrinkage and fatal embrittlement.  That last is exactly why Coleman gasoline lantern mantles were so fragile!

The ceramic blankets were more sharply temperature limited,  and were only used on leeside surfaces immersed in separated flow.

Tufroc is not a single material,  but two layers of different ceramic materials mechanically coupled together.  These are usually set up as two-part tiles bonded to the surfaces they protect.  The outer surface layer is a denser,  more thermally conductive ceramic that is rated to a higher temperature than aluminosilicates,  and also quite a bit stronger than the shuttle tile material.  The inner layer is somewhat similar to shuttle tile,  being low density,  not as strong,  and very low thermal conductivity.  It is rated to a bit-higher temperature.

Figure 12 – Some Data on Refractory Ceramic Materials

Exposed metals are possible,  but only if the heating rate is low enough to permit a survivable equilibrium temperature,  with a hot strength that is still acceptable.  This was done on Mercury and Gemini,  which returned only from low circular Earth orbit where the heating rates were far lower.  This could not be done with Apollo,  which returned from the moon at very near escape speed,  with very much higher heating rates.  It is being done again by SpaceX with its “Starship” leeside surfaces,  but only in separated flow zones,  and only from low circular Earth orbit speeds (at least so far).  See Figure 13 for materials data.

Figure 13 – Some Data on Exposed Metals as Refractory Candidates

For ablatives,  refractories (ceramics and metals),  and transpiration-cooled designs,  the heat balance concepts,  as simplified,  are shown in Figure 14 below.  These are couched in terms of heat flux format,  that being heat flow rate per unit of exposed surface area.  That matches the output data from the entry spreadsheet model. 

For the ablative scenario,  there is both ablation and re-radiation cooling available to establish equilibrium,  but no adequate way to determine how much of each!  For the refractory scenario,  there is only re-radiation cooling,  and an equilibrium temperature is easily determined iteratively.  For the transpiration scenario,  equilibrium surface temperature is constrained by coolant vaporization at an acceptable coolant pressure.  Thus,  an actual coolant flow rate is determined from that acceptable temperature.

Bear in mind that transpiration cooling has yet to actually fly in space.  It was supposed to be investigated with the old X-20 “Dyna-Soar”,  that was cancelled without ever flying.  However,  such a thing may well fly soon.  There is at least one “new space” competitor that wants to use it,  and it was seriously considered by SpaceX,  before they went with very slow-ablative tiles on their “Starship”. 

Those notions lead directly to the guidance for spreadsheet-based heat balances depicted in Figure 15 below.  These would likely be self-generated as custom spreadsheets.  This author has none to offer at this time.  The ablatives scenario must have some other constraint in order to set the point on the regression rate vs equilibrium temperature trend.  

Figure 14 – How the Heat Fluxes Balance for the 3 Scenarios

Figure 15 – Guidance Toward Setting Up Spreadsheet Heat Balances for the 3 Scenarios

Mars entry is definitely different from Earth entry,  as shown in Figure 16 just below.  These are the cross-plotted results from a study run with these tools.  The author “made-up” a small probe,  with either a conical or a blunt heat shield,  and ran it for free direct entries off an interplanetary trajectory at Mars,  plus low circular Earth orbit entries,  and entries at near escape speed.  These data were combined with results from an earlier Apollo entry study that included entry from low circular orbit and near-escape returning from the moon. 

The 2 left-side plots in the figure basically show the effect of the very thin Mars atmosphere upon end-of-hypersonics altitude,  and upon estimated stagnation pressure on the heat shield.  The surface density on Mars is numerically the same as density near 35 km altitude at Earth.  The plot of stagnation total heating vs speed at peak heating shows no reliably-discernable trend,  except that peak heating speed is higher if entry interface speed is higher.  The Mars data fall right in the middle of the Earth data,  all for comparable entry speed,  since direct entry speed at Mars is about the same as low Earth orbit entry speed.  

Figure 16 – Comparison Cross-Plots for Earth vs Mars Entries

Doing these kinds of entry studies using pencil-and-paper engineering,  assisted by modern spreadsheet software,  is actually easier than most people think.  But the engineering analyst who does this must really know what he/she is doing!  This is very heavy into high-speed compressible flow analysis,  and very high-speed heat transfer techniques! 

Plus,  in order to function,  the engineering analyst must know an awful lot about materials,  their properties,  and their limitations! 

But,  there is an undiscussed advantage if the engineering analyst can really do this pencil-and-paper engineering stuff!  He/she will have enough experience from running such numbers for many projects,  to spot bad results coming from someone else’s code.  Computers process bad inputs and bad models into bad results,  as easily as they process good inputs and good models into good results.  They all look the same,  at first glance!

References as indicated above:

#1.  H. J. Allen and A. J. Eggers,  “A Study of the Motion and Aerodynamic Heating of Ballistic Missiles Entering the Earth’s Atmosphere at High Supersonic Speeds”,  NACA Technical Report 1381,  44th Annual Report of the NACA 1958,  Washington D.C. 1959. (unclassified) – this has the scale height atmosphere model and the relationship between altitude and velocity,  plus the convective stagnation heating correlation.

#2.  C. G. Justus and R. D. Braun,  “Atmospheric Environments for Entry,  Descent,  and Landing”,  MSFC-198,  June,  2007.  – this has the same Allen and Eggers entry model,  and scale height atmosphere model as Allen and Eggers,  but goes beyond just Earth.  Atmospheres for Mars,  Titan,  and Venus were obtained from here.

#3.  SAE,  “Aerospace Applied Thermodynamics Manual”,  1969.  (hardbound) – this had a simple plasma radiation heating model that was modified and added to the spreadsheet embodying the Allen and Eggers technique.

#4.  Sighard Hoerner,  “Fluid Dynamic Drag”,  self-published by the author,  1965.  – drag data for many shapes into the low hypersonic range are in this reference.

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PS:  This article actually comprises a pretty good user’s manual for my current version of the entry spreadsheet.  This spreadsheet is available from the New Mars forums as a free download,  or you can contact me directly by email.  Watch this site for two follow-up articles done by using this spreadsheet-based analysis technique. 

One will be a comparative re-entry study done for typical Mars probe heat shield shapes and an Apollo capsule shape,  all with ablative heat shields,  done at both Earth and Mars.  It will show how Mars entry is different,  with some indications as to why.

The other will be a heating distribution study for an Orion capsule doing free-entry returns from the moon.  Such will be useful for understanding what effects showed up on the Artemis-1 heat shield versus the Artemis-2 heat shield,  and the original Orion EFT-1 test flight’s heat shield.

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