So, yet another group
is looking at a high-speed rail system,
this time for Texas and Oklahoma as a region. I like the basic idea, but I do not like any of the proposals I have
seen, not since passenger train service
mostly went away decades ago.
Nearly all of these proposals involve train speeds of 150 to
250 mph, which in turn requires all-new
equipment, and also requires all-new right-of-way
with high-tech track. So, nearly all of these proposals run in the very
unaffordable 10’s of billions of today’s dollars.
And here’s the real “rub”:
none of these proposals has ever effectively addressed how to get people
out of their cars and onto the train for intercity travel! Just shooting from the hip, I can tell you that a ticket price 80% that
of the equivalent airline ticket will not do that trick.
The real rail system (that we actually do need!) should
maximize use of existing assets to reduce cost, and effectively address the “draw” that will get
folks out of their cars on the interstates. As it turns out, there are pre-existing concepts for both of
these very serious issues, I just have
never seen them proposed.
Existing Assets
The allure of using existing assets is quite obvious: to avoid spending 10’s of billions of dollars
for this. What we already have today is
80 mph capable, for that is the typical
cruise speed of an Amtrak train between stops in Texas.
Improve track maintenance but slightly, and you could raise that to 100 mph
capable, just as it was decades ago for
steam express trains. There’s just not a
lot of expense involved to upgrade or adapt existing equipment for 100+ mph
speeds, not compared to the 10’s of
billions of dollars for “all new everything”.
The “Draw” Out of the
Cars
The fundamental problem has been to get people out of their
cars on the interstates, because
personal auto travel is just so bloody convenient. Why?
Because the car expense doesn’t change when you get to destination (no
rental required).
If you have to rent a car at destination, then there is no effective difference between
train travel and air travel. Air travel
with car rental is such a royal pain in the rear that people simply prefer to
drive hundreds of miles to avoid the hassle.
In the process, we
waste millions of barrels of oil,
because mass transit is just far more efficient than cars. People trying to address this with their mass
transit plans always forget that the hassle factor has a high price to the
passenger, just like the
oil.
So, why not do a sort
of mixed freight and passenger train,
where a part of the freight is the cars of the passengers? It’s a drive on, get out and spend the trip in the dining
car, and then drive off without rental
hassle when you get there. This
sort of thing has already been shown to work on the East Coast and in Europe!
Doing It A Bit
Differently
So, my proposal would
be threefold: (1) upgrade track
maintenance to support 100 mph travel,
(2) upgrade or adapt engines and rolling stock for 100 mph travel, and (3) put together trains that are mixed
freight and passenger as well as the all-freight trains we already have.
Just run everything nearer 100 mph than the current 70 mph
freight, to relieve scheduling
problems. The passenger-carrying portion
could be added to any mixed freight.
Just add the dining car and some flat cars with the autos chained down
on them. Simple as that.
Suggestions for
Operations
I suggest that the auto-bearing flat cars be sorted by
city, according to the stops the train
will make. When you stop, you uncouple that city’s auto-carrying flat
car for arriving passengers, and couple-up
the auto-carrying flat car for those passengers getting on.
That way, auto
load/unload times need not impact the time of the station stop. You can just keep the same dining car, with passengers coming and going as the stops
are made. Do the auto load/unload
operations on a siding, before/after the
train stop.
Why This Will Work
Trains are so much more efficient than any imaginable road
vehicle that we would still save lots of fuel,
even hauling passengers’ autos on the train. The passenger has a car at destination without
a rental hassle. And travel times at 100
mph are still shorter than anything achievable on the interstates, even with a 75 mph speed limit.
Folks that’s a win-win situation for everybody. All it takes to “solve” this is reusing
existing assets in a slightly-different way that addresses attractiveness of
mass transit.
Longer term, we can
look at what it would take to use those same existing assets at 120 mph. Maybe even 130 mph. But,
the 200 mph that requires “all-new everything” is just not
necessary.
Addressing Track
Issues
I rode the Amtrak from McGregor to Chicago a few years
ago. I timed the speed at near-80 mph
between stops in Texas, and near-90 mph
in Illinois. But in Arkansas and
Missouri, we had to crawl at no more
than 20-30 mph, because the track was in
such poor shape.
This state-by-state variation in track maintenance is what
could be fixed by a federal standard for all lines to be used for high-speed
passenger service. As for correcting the
problems, there’s a shovel-ready
infrastructure project, if ever there
was one.
What I Saw in Japan
Last year my family went to Japan to visit friends and
relatives. The whole time we were
there, we used narrow-gauge light rail
for almost all shorter trips, and
full-gauge rail for longer-range intercity travel. It was really convenient.
All of these traveled faster than the corresponding
auto traffic on the freeway system, so
people used them preferentially. The
same would be true here, which is why
100+mph is “good enough”.
Good article. We need both high speed rail and low speed rail in the US. But the most lucrative high speed routes should be focused on first. Out here in the west, the Anaheim (Disneyland) to San Jose routes and the Anaheim to Las Vegas routes should be prioritized).
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