We will all know more, after the Coast Guard inquiry is completed. The picture shows the layout and characteristics of the vessel. The cylindrical portion was a tube made of carbon composite, with a wall thickness of 5 inches. The domes on each end were thick titanium metal, bolted to metal rings bonded to the carbon composite tube.
The end domes were recovered more-or-less intact, along with other large chunks that include
some of the aft exterior plating, and some
exterior-mounted equipment items. This
suggests it was the carbon composite pressure hull tube that failed in the
catastrophic implosion, as no large
chunks of that tube have been seen as recovered items.
Composites made with layers of woven cloth must be
compressed during cure, to avoid massive
porosity issues. This is usually done by
vacuum-bagging the layup for cure. The
stronger the vacuum, and the thinner the
part, the lower the porosity. That porosity weakens the part, and gives it a finite life under cyclic
loading, due to the voids locally concentrating
stresses.
Parts made by continuous fiber winding are not
vacuum-bagged, but avoid the massive
porosity of woven-cloth parts, at the
cost of requiring multiple fiber winding directions to handle all the forces
applied in various directions. Some
porosity is inherent, just as in the properly
vacuum-bagged woven cloth parts.
I suggest that composite material was the wrong choice for a
deep submergence vehicle pressure hull!
There is time for sea water to infiltrate into the porosity
voids during the descent and subsequent bottom time. At those depths, sea water is slightly compressible (by around
1.5 to 2% of volume). It does not have
time to fully percolate back out during the ascent, so to one extent or another, it swells and causes local cracking around
the porosity voids, weakening the
part. The part gets more damaged
internally and thus a little bit weaker,
with each dive cycle. Sooner or
later, it will fail.
The problem here is sea water infiltration under high
pressure into the inherent porosity of the part, something that does not happen in more
ordinary conditions. Metals do not
suffer this porosity infiltration mechanism,
although they are subject to fatigue.
Update 7-7-2023: Just to be clear, composites do not “fatigue” the way metals do
(agglomerating atomic lattice misalignments leading to cracks, with stress concentrations at the crack tips
propagating them rapidly further). But
there is a limited life in composites due to accumulating internal damage with
cyclic loading. This is not as well
understood as metal fatigue, but
nevertheless, it is quite real.
It appears to have something to do with stress
concentrations about voids in the matrix (leading to cracks), and about other voids at the fiber-matrix interfaces
(leading to delaminations). What I
suggest here in this article is a seawater infiltration effect at high
pressures that greatly compounds the already-existing cumulative damage
problem.
The infiltrated seawater cannot get out fast enough during
the ascent, but as sea pressure
reduces, it expands, forcing both these types of voids wider, and making the damage they do much worse.
This would not be so much of a problem at the “ordinary” depths of
submarines, where the seawater is
essentially incompressible. But at very
deep depths, the seawater actually is
compressible, and you can incur significant
damage, as it expands faster than it can
get out of the material, during even a
single ascent.
To reduce that risk,
you use only materials with no internal porosity. And that rules out composites! Which is exactly why I said composites
were the wrong material choice, for the
pressure hull of a deep-diving submersible.
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