This was originally written 10-18-2023:
To understand what is going on, you have to understand who and what the players are. We know who the Israelis are. But many do not understand who and what Hamas (and Hezbollah) really are! We need to include Hezbollah, because very soon they might enter this war, too.
These are terrorist organizations masquerading as religious
jihadist groups, that are really proxy
armies for Iran, and whose role is to
cause chaos and death wherever the Iranian government wants it. When I say “Iran”, I am talking about their government, a terrorist dictatorship masquerading as a
democracy. Not the Iranian people.
There are other similar terrorist organizations masquerading
as religious jihadist groups out there (Al Qaeda and ISIS come to mind), but it is Hamas and Hezbollah that belong to
the Iranian government who largely funds them,
and certainly gives them training,
weapons, and marching
orders. This has been going on for some
decades now, it is no secret.
I classify them as extreme terrorist groups, because that is exactly what they do. These groups kill anybody and everybody. In point of fact, they kill more Muslims than anybody
else, because those are the most
numerous potential victims in the countries where they typically operate. We’ve all seen these vicious crimes going on
for many years, and now Hamas terrorists
beheading little babies in this war.
What else is this but simple murderous terrorism? It needs to be eliminated from the face of
the Earth, there is no question about
that!
The start of this current war has Iran’s fingerprints all
over it! Iran is a sworn enemy of
Israel, but also a sworn enemy of Saudi
Arabia (no secret there). Israel and
Saudi Arabia were getting close to a peace agreement that would have
effectively put severe restrictions on Iran’s freedom-of-action, so Iran had to start a war involving the
Israelis to put a stop to that. They did
that by commanding Hamas to attack in great force, which demands an invasion of the Gaza Strip
as the response.
Hamas has been attacking Israel from the Gaza Strip for many
years. This usually takes the form of an
unguided rocket barrage, or a few
terrorist troops crossing the border,
but rarely both, and never before
in the quantities and coordination seen at the start of this war. That suggests the planning and supplies came
directly from Iran! Most of the weapons
do, we’ve already seen some stockpiles
of them on TV.
As for the explosion at the hospital in southern Gaza, consider that logically there are 4
possibilities: (1) Israel did this
deliberately, (2) Israel did this
accidentally, (3) Hamas did this
deliberately, and (4) Hamas did this
accidentally. The point of such an
attack, if deliberate, would be to stir up anti-Israeli sentiment
among not just the Arabs, but around the
world. Which we have seen!
We have not seen any evidence as of yet, regarding which of the 4 possibilities might
really be true. We have seen some
suggestions that this was a misfired Hamas rocket (possibility 4). But no
evidence has shown up yet in public.
Instead consider motivations. Why would Israel want such a thing to
happen? It could only stir up resentment
against them. Hamas, on the other hand, would like that resentment against the
Israelis. That suggests possibilities 1
and 2 are rather unlikely, while
possibilities 3 and 4 are rather likely.
So the odds favor that Hamas did this, deliberate or not. I cannot rule out deliberate, because Hamas is the elected government (such
as it is) of Gaza. And yet Hamas has a repeatedly-demonstrated
proclivity to use as human shields the very people it supposedly governs!
Israel did not expect an attack on this scale. That much is clear, because it was absolutely not prepared
ahead-of-time to invade. In the
past, an air raid or two was sufficient
response. But not this time!
I suggest that they invade,
kill all the Hamas fighters they can find, and corral the civilians. The women-with-children and old men can
pretty much be presumed innocent civilians.
Younger men in the company of women-with-children are likely
civilians, too. But young single men, and single-women-without-children (a rarity
in typical Arab cultures), need close
scrutiny!
Why? Because you do
not want to kill innocent civilians, but
you do not want to take any Hamas prisoners!
Why waste the resources to keep alive that which you so sincerely want
dead? And if Hezbollah comes across the
border from Lebanon, don’t take any of
them prisoners, either! This scourge needs to be wiped clean from the
face of the Earth.
Update 10-22-2023:
4 days after this was originally written, we have still seen no evidence in public
about who really blew up that hospital in southern Gaza. The motivations still point to Hamas doing it
either deliberately or accidentally, and
some reports finger a subsidiary Hamas terrorist group as the perpetrators.
On the other hand,
terrorists are now firing rockets at Israel from the West Bank, and Syria,
if reports are accurate. Everyone
fears a widening war. It definitely
appears that Hamas and its sympathizers are the ones widening it.
The recommended solution is still the same: wipe these evil people from the face of the
Earth. All of them. But,
while doing it, try not to kill
the innocent civilians!
Update 11-2-2023:
Point 1: the ultimate culprit here is the terrorist
“government” of Iran. All these violent
groups are their proxy terrorist armies.
The Iranian government funds them,
supplies them, and gives them
strategic direction. So far, the government of Iran has not been held
accountable for any of this destruction,
despite their being fundamentally at fault for all of it! That is a very serious foreign policy mistake
being made by all the western governments,
collectively. And this evil
crap will not stop until the terrorist government of Iran is deposed!
That government is
terrorist dictatorship that masquerades as a religious group to justify itself
to the people it rules, and it operates
a sham democracy where the ruling “mullahs” can override anything any elected
body decides. They ruthlessly oppress
and kill any of their own citizens who dare protest or defy anything. This has
been going on since they took over in 1979 after the Shah fled.
You’d think the
western governments would have done something effective about this before
now, but they have not.
Point 2: the calls for a cease fire are
well-meaning, but are strategically very
incorrect. The reporting on this is
based upon the massive death and destruction of civilians in Gaza that is right
in front of everyone, and not at all on what
underlies that tragedy, and which overwhelms
that tragedy in importance.
That mistake on the
part of most of the reporters is understandable, since reporting on what is right in front of
them, is usually exactly what they are
supposed to do. But, focusing on the appearance is not what must
be done by those who actually have to fight the war! The few reporters I have seen who actually
interview a real war-fighter about this issue,
do not seem to understand, or
even listen to, the answers given by
these war-fighters, since these answers
disagree with the appearances. And that
is a very serious mistake being made by the news media. Dig deeper,
please!
Unlike previous Israeli
responses to Hamas attacks, this time
the Israelis have made their top objective the ultimate destruction of
Hamas, despite the human shield behind
which Hamas is hiding. Why should it
surprise anyone that there are civilian casualties, when to win,
the Israelis must go right through that human shield to get at
Hamas? If they do not do this, they lose,
and so do we all, since the world
must be rid of these terrorist groups! The
real war crime here is not the Israelis going through that human shield, it is Hamas using a human shield in the
first place!
And I do not see
that crucial fact being adequately reported.
Please see the column by Jonah Goldberg and titled “China
deflects world’s attention to Israel”,
which was published this date in the Waco Tribune-Herald. He hits the nail right on the head regarding
the strategy China has been using to deflect away criticisms for the many evils
it does.
The misplaced support so many very young people show for the
terrorist “government” in Gaza, called
Hamas, traces directly to their use of
the Tik Tok social media platform, where
anti-Jewish disinformation (among other things) gets spread by the Chinese
government. China is not the only one
doing this, but right now, they are among the worst.
Thank you, Jonah Goldberg,
for pointing this danger out in public.
"Why should it surprise anyone that there are civilian casualties, when to win, the Israelis must go right through that human shield to get at Hamas? If they do not do this, they lose, and so do we all, since the world must be rid of these terrorist groups!"
ReplyDeleteIf the goal is to eliminate terrorists, plowing through a human shield to get at them is both a hideously immoral and counterproductive method of achieving that. Even if Israel manages to destroy Hamas with this bombing campaign, they will leave tens of thousands of broken, grieving families in their wake, which is precisely the soil that terrorist groups sprout from. Attempting to end a cycle of violence by doing even more violence is self defeating.
I think Israel has done a poor job trying to minimize civilian casualties. But when your enemy hides behind a human shield, the only way to strike him is right through that human shield! There will be civilian casualties, no matter the strength of the efforts to minimize them. That is just the nature of war, which is why we try so hard to avoid it.
DeleteMy real complaint is that the terrorist government of Iran has fomented all of this, and has suffered no consequences for it! THAT is what must change for this ever to have a real end. The "correct" war is being fought on the wrong soil, although cleaning up the mess that is Hamas and Hezbollah (and some others) is unavoidable.
I feel that is a false dichotomy. There are other ways of instigating a regime change that don't involve a massive bombing campaign. Targeted assassinations, supporting an opposition group, supporting a coup. Hamas isn't exactly popular in Palestine. Those are also risky unclean strategies that could have major civilian causalities if they destabilize the situation badly enough, but they at least have a chance of having low causalities, a bombing campaign does not.
DeleteI agree that Hamas needs to go before any real lasting peace is possible, but by going about that removal in the most straightforward and bloody way possible Israel is significantly hurting their odds of peace in the aftermath. If anything they are making Hamas or what ever new group forms in it's wake stronger. A child seeing their mother blown to pieces before their eyes is the strongest recruitment ad a terrorist group could ever ask for.
I actually agree with you to some extent. I said the Israelis were doing a very poor job of moving civilians out of the way. That's quite true.
DeleteIn part that is because Netanyahu's far-right coalition government is uninterested in treating Palestinians correctly (its history demonstrates that), and in greater part because the human shield Hamas hides behind, was forced by them at gunpoint to stay in place. All of this will come out in the end.
And I agree any peace is unlikely to be "lasting", for exactly the reason you gave,
but more especially since the terrorist government of Iran will be undamaged, with other proxy terrorist armies still at its command to cause troubles all over the world. -- GW